Appreciation Velocity — Maricopa, AZ
Home-price appreciation in Maricopa, AZ plus ZIPs within the city ranked by 1Y growth.
Public Record
Maricopa · 1Y appreciation
-7.6%
Maricopa · 3Y appreciation
+1.2%
Maricopa · 5Y appreciation
-72.6%
Maricopa · 10Y appreciation
-76.1%
Top 10 — 1Y appreciation (Zips)
#1 · ZIP 85138
-4.1%
Zip ranking — 1Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | Zip | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZIP 85138 | AZ | -4.1% | -1.5% | -71.4% | -75.6% | $358.7K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.