Appreciation Velocity — Mesa, AZ
Home-price appreciation in Mesa, AZ plus ZIPs within the city ranked by 1Y growth.
Public Record
Mesa · 1Y appreciation
-13.5%
Mesa · 3Y appreciation
+12.6%
Mesa · 5Y appreciation
-50.5%
Mesa · 10Y appreciation
+43.2%
Top 10 — 1Y appreciation (Zips)
#1 · ZIP 85208
+16.3%
#2 · ZIP 85202
+14.7%
#3 · ZIP 85209
+12.4%
#4 · ZIP 85210
+12.1%
#5 · ZIP 85204
+3.5%
#6 · ZIP 85212
+2.1%
#7 · ZIP 85205
-10.6%
#8 · ZIP 85203
-15.3%
#9 · ZIP 85207
-20.7%
#10 · ZIP 85213
-25.4%
Zip ranking — 1Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | Zip | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZIP 85208 | AZ | +16.3% | +56.5% | +52.9% | +90.7% | $305.8K |
| 2 | ZIP 85202 | AZ | +14.7% | +29.1% | +86.2% | +194.9% | $499K |
| 3 | ZIP 85209 | AZ | +12.4% | +25.5% | +25.0% | +82.6% | $411.7K |
| 4 | ZIP 85210 | AZ | +12.1% | +49.2% | +52.4% | +133.9% | $410.3K |
| 5 | ZIP 85204 | AZ | +3.5% | +2.1% | -18.9% | -18.9% | $303.5K |
| 6 | ZIP 85212 | AZ | +2.1% | -14.5% | -61.8% | +10.9% | $619.7K |
| 7 | ZIP 85205 | AZ | -10.6% | +75.0% | +18.5% | +90.8% | $407.1K |
| 8 | ZIP 85203 | AZ | -15.3% | +12.4% | +90.8% | +95.8% | $614.2K |
| 9 | ZIP 85207 | AZ | -20.7% | -13.7% | +14.7% | +39.3% | $466K |
| 10 | ZIP 85213 | AZ | -25.4% | -6.7% | -32.2% | +49.7% | $416.5K |
| 11 | ZIP 85215 | AZ | -30.2% | -31.2% | -18.4% | +32.3% | $354.7K |
| 12 | ZIP 85201 | AZ | -38.0% | -25.0% | -21.3% | +59.7% | $212K |
| 13 | ZIP 85206 | AZ | -53.1% | +41.0% | +42.0% | +92.0% | $397.4K |
| 14 | ZIP 85120 | AZ | -90.5% | -73.1% | -27.6% | -76.8% | $211.2K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.