Appreciation Velocity — Mesa, AZ
Home-price appreciation in Mesa, AZ plus ZIPs within the city ranked by 1Y growth.
Public Record
Mesa · 1Y appreciation
-13.5%
Mesa · 3Y appreciation
+12.6%
Mesa · 5Y appreciation
-50.5%
Mesa · 10Y appreciation
+43.2%
Top 10 — 3Y appreciation (Zips)
#1 · ZIP 85202
+19.3%
#2 · ZIP 85206
+17.5%
#3 · ZIP 85208
+8.1%
#4 · ZIP 85210
+5.2%
#5 · ZIP 85203
+1.7%
#6 · ZIP 85205
+0.1%
#7 · ZIP 85209
-6.0%
#8 · ZIP 85212
-7.9%
#9 · ZIP 85207
-32.8%
#10 · ZIP 85204
-35.5%
Zip ranking — 3Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | Zip | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZIP 85202 | AZ | +14.7% | +19.3% | +86.2% | +209.6% | $499K |
| 2 | ZIP 85206 | AZ | -53.1% | +17.5% | +43.5% | +90.7% | $397.4K |
| 3 | ZIP 85208 | AZ | +16.3% | +8.1% | +54.4% | +93.1% | $305.8K |
| 4 | ZIP 85210 | AZ | +12.1% | +5.2% | +51.3% | +69.6% | $410.3K |
| 5 | ZIP 85203 | AZ | -15.3% | +1.7% | +90.8% | +92.8% | $614.2K |
| 6 | ZIP 85205 | AZ | -10.6% | +0.1% | +18.2% | +89.0% | $407.1K |
| 7 | ZIP 85209 | AZ | +12.4% | -6.0% | +25.0% | +84.0% | $411.7K |
| 8 | ZIP 85212 | AZ | +2.1% | -7.9% | -66.9% | +13.6% | $619.7K |
| 9 | ZIP 85207 | AZ | -20.7% | -32.8% | +19.2% | +39.2% | $466K |
| 10 | ZIP 85204 | AZ | +3.5% | -35.5% | -19.6% | -18.5% | $303.5K |
| 11 | ZIP 85215 | AZ | -30.2% | -37.1% | -20.7% | +32.2% | $354.7K |
| 12 | ZIP 85201 | AZ | -38.0% | -47.6% | -22.5% | +58.4% | $212K |
| 13 | ZIP 85213 | AZ | -25.4% | -61.0% | -32.2% | +50.5% | $416.5K |
| 14 | ZIP 85120 | AZ | -90.5% | -62.8% | -28.5% | -72.8% | $211.2K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.