Appreciation Velocity — Surprise, AZ
Home-price appreciation in Surprise, AZ plus ZIPs within the city ranked by 1Y growth.
Public Record
Surprise · 1Y appreciation
+15.3%
Surprise · 3Y appreciation
-2.2%
Surprise · 5Y appreciation
-61.9%
Surprise · 10Y appreciation
+105.9%
Top 10 — 1Y appreciation (Zips)
#1 · ZIP 85387
+53.7%
#2 · ZIP 85378
+32.5%
#3 · ZIP 85388
+23.8%
#4 · ZIP 85379
-5.2%
#5 · ZIP 85374
-10.0%
#6 · ZIP 85023
-16.9%
Zip ranking — 1Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | Zip | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZIP 85387 | AZ | +53.7% | +49.5% | -68.3% | +117.2% | $679.9K |
| 2 | ZIP 85378 | AZ | +32.5% | -16.5% | +23.6% | +126.8% | $269.8K |
| 3 | ZIP 85388 | AZ | +23.8% | +1.4% | +61.7% | +197.3% | $672.9K |
| 4 | ZIP 85379 | AZ | -5.2% | -2.2% | +9.1% | +44.4% | $444.5K |
| 5 | ZIP 85374 | AZ | -10.0% | -18.4% | +11.0% | +88.1% | $354.3K |
| 6 | ZIP 85023 | AZ | -16.9% | -3.4% | +16.5% | +161.2% | $480.8K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.