Appreciation Velocity — Puerto Rico Cities
Cities of Puerto Rico ranked by 1Y / 3Y / 5Y home-price appreciation.
Public Record
Top 10 — 3Y appreciation (Countys)
#1 · Ponce, PR
+75.0%
#2 · Gurabo, PR
+48.0%
#3 · Carolina, PR
-19.2%
#4 · Guaynabo, PR
-20.9%
#5 · San Juan, PR
-39.2%
#6 · Vega Alta, PR
-53.3%
#7 · Dorado, PR
-76.8%
County ranking — 3Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | County | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ponce, PR | PR | +42.9% | +75.0% | +51.5% | — | $140K |
| 2 | Gurabo, PR | PR | -75.1% | +48.0% | -77.3% | — | $58K |
| 3 | Carolina, PR | PR | +77.1% | -19.2% | +64.8% | — | $700K |
| 4 | Guaynabo, PR | PR | -62.7% | -20.9% | +30.0% | — | $607.5K |
| 5 | San Juan, PR | PR | -25.8% | -39.2% | -28.5% | — | $666.3K |
| 6 | Vega Alta, PR | PR | -22.7% | -53.3% | -80.3% | — | $85K |
| 7 | Dorado, PR | PR | -63.8% | -76.8% | -73.0% | — | $985K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.