Appreciation Velocity — Arlington, VA
Home-price appreciation in Arlington, VA plus ZIPs within the city ranked by 1Y growth.
Public Record
Arlington · 1Y appreciation
-19.7%
Arlington · 3Y appreciation
+3.3%
Arlington · 5Y appreciation
+5.1%
Arlington · 10Y appreciation
+41.8%
Top 10 — 3Y appreciation (Zips)
#1 · ZIP 22207
+54.0%
#2 · ZIP 22206
+2.8%
#3 · ZIP 22205
-22.5%
#4 · ZIP 22203
-25.3%
#5 · ZIP 22201
-35.8%
#6 · ZIP 22204
-40.6%
#7 · ZIP 22202
-59.5%
Zip ranking — 3Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | Zip | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | ZIP 22207 | VA | +52.4% | +54.0% | +181.7% | +239.0% | $2.8M |
| 2 | ZIP 22206 | VA | +5.1% | +2.8% | +32.4% | +56.8% | $670.2K |
| 3 | ZIP 22205 | VA | -21.3% | -22.5% | +4.8% | +21.5% | $1.08M |
| 4 | ZIP 22203 | VA | -39.1% | -25.3% | -35.1% | -7.3% | $333.7K |
| 5 | ZIP 22201 | VA | -47.9% | -35.8% | -24.3% | -21.3% | $579.8K |
| 6 | ZIP 22204 | VA | -47.3% | -40.6% | -14.4% | +7.5% | $431.6K |
| 7 | ZIP 22202 | VA | -63.5% | -59.5% | -46.7% | -3.4% | $387.5K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.