Appreciation Velocity — Virginia Cities
Cities of Virginia ranked by 1Y / 3Y / 5Y home-price appreciation.
Public Record
Top 10 — 10Y appreciation (Countys)
#1 · Carroll, VA
+759.2%
#2 · , VA
+562.7%
#3 · Essex, VA
+516.9%
#4 · Bath, VA
+437.4%
#5 · Charles City, VA
+383.5%
#6 · Falls Church City, VA
+320.8%
#7 · Madison, VA
+281.7%
#8 · Northampton, VA
+248.3%
#9 · Danville City, VA
+224.5%
#10 · Mecklenburg, VA
+217.3%
County ranking — 10Y appreciation (highest first)
| # | County | State | 1Y | 3Y | 5Y | 10Y | Current median |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Carroll, VA | VA | +2,210.4% | +473.0% | +562.5% | +759.2% | $1.22M |
| 2 | , VA | VA | -8.5% | -42.1% | +35.4% | +562.7% | $330.7K |
| 3 | Essex, VA | VA | +86.8% | +438.1% | +480.4% | +516.9% | $921K |
| 4 | Bath, VA | VA | -10.2% | +97.8% | -37.0% | +437.4% | $429.9K |
| 5 | Charles City, VA | VA | +98.6% | +465.9% | +256.4% | +383.5% | $805K |
| 6 | Falls Church City, VA | VA | +286.4% | — | +108.0% | +320.8% | $2.55M |
| 7 | Madison, VA | VA | -30.2% | -29.7% | +148.7% | +281.7% | $536.8K |
| 8 | Northampton, VA | VA | +44.4% | -18.5% | +109.2% | +248.3% | $765.8K |
| 9 | Danville City, VA | VA | +67.2% | +321.1% | +288.0% | +224.5% | $400K |
| 10 | Mecklenburg, VA | VA | +14.9% | +95.4% | +166.9% | +217.3% | $415.4K |
| 11 | Pulaski, VA | VA | +12.1% | +37.2% | +122.2% | +201.4% | $369.9K |
| 12 | Nottoway, VA | VA | -2.1% | +116.2% | -1.8% | +183.6% | $284.7K |
| 13 | Page, VA | VA | +3.3% | +104.9% | +66.1% | +171.3% | $352.5K |
| 14 | Shenandoah, VA | VA | +19.4% | +52.8% | +85.2% | +165.3% | $390.6K |
| 15 | Colonial Heights City, VA | VA | +22.7% | +88.9% | +106.4% | +164.5% | $330.5K |
| 16 | Surry, VA | VA | +289.0% | +301.2% | +342.4% | +161.6% | $957K |
| 17 | Hopewell City, VA | VA | +1.7% | +37.9% | +230.5% | +159.2% | $303.3K |
| 18 | Floyd, VA | VA | +41.0% | +66.0% | +130.4% | +153.9% | $453.8K |
| 19 | Warren, VA | VA | +46.4% | +56.1% | +109.4% | +151.3% | $559.9K |
| 20 | Westmoreland, VA | VA | +8.6% | +31.4% | +42.8% | +145.9% | $364.6K |
| 21 | Prince Edward, VA | VA | +3.7% | +9.1% | +39.2% | +144.7% | $298.6K |
| 22 | Petersburg City, VA | VA | +16.7% | +108.8% | +112.3% | +143.7% | $242K |
| 23 | Goochland, VA | VA | +9.2% | +53.1% | +50.9% | +142.4% | $687.1K |
| 24 | Spotsylvania, VA | VA | +21.5% | +33.2% | +84.1% | +142.2% | $609.6K |
| 25 | Hanover, VA | VA | +13.9% | +70.4% | +87.5% | +138.9% | $656.2K |
| 26 | Augusta, VA | VA | -0.6% | +23.6% | +79.2% | +136.3% | $432.4K |
| 27 | Roanoke City, VA | VA | -17.7% | +30.8% | +127.0% | +135.7% | $297.9K |
| 28 | Henry, VA | VA | -15.0% | +20.6% | +29.0% | +130.3% | $192.1K |
| 29 | Portsmouth City, VA | VA | -7.2% | +24.3% | +64.3% | +128.8% | $316.7K |
| 30 | Culpeper, VA | VA | +21.6% | +22.2% | +42.9% | +113.3% | $554.1K |
| 31 | Gloucester, VA | VA | +17.3% | +33.8% | +18.4% | +110.2% | $403.5K |
| 32 | Louisa, VA | VA | -4.8% | +40.3% | +62.4% | +107.4% | $484.6K |
| 33 | Franklin, VA | VA | +26.8% | +65.4% | +101.5% | +107.4% | $513.6K |
| 34 | Henrico, VA | VA | +3.7% | +11.1% | +77.8% | +106.5% | $510.1K |
| 35 | Prince William, VA | VA | -12.4% | +15.1% | +17.9% | +105.9% | $729.9K |
| 36 | Sussex, VA | VA | -5.9% | +93.3% | +50.9% | +105.6% | $262.1K |
| 37 | Orange, VA | VA | -17.1% | -7.9% | +63.1% | +104.1% | $411.3K |
| 38 | Fairfax City, VA | VA | -14.5% | — | +39.3% | +100.3% | $788.7K |
| 39 | Caroline, VA | VA | -14.8% | -15.4% | +29.4% | +99.6% | $363.6K |
| 40 | Dickenson, VA | VA | -14.7% | +46.9% | +53.5% | +95.0% | $117K |
| 41 | Manassas City, VA | VA | -62.2% | +11.6% | +1.4% | +93.3% | $576.3K |
| 42 | Virginia Beach City, VA | VA | +8.0% | +71.2% | +50.3% | +92.7% | $528K |
| 43 | Cumberland, VA | VA | -0.3% | +8.6% | +85.6% | +91.8% | $295K |
| 44 | Powhatan, VA | VA | -11.0% | -2.7% | +82.8% | +91.4% | $460.3K |
| 45 | Amherst, VA | VA | +22.5% | +42.7% | +69.5% | +85.7% | $278.2K |
| 46 | Wise, VA | VA | +5.8% | +24.1% | -15.9% | +85.5% | $153.9K |
| 47 | Dinwiddie, VA | VA | +14.5% | +29.1% | +73.4% | +85.3% | $307.7K |
| 48 | Botetourt, VA | VA | +23.1% | +29.0% | +70.0% | +84.6% | $429.4K |
| 49 | Newport News City, VA | VA | +2.1% | +30.2% | +68.8% | +84.5% | $319K |
| 50 | Appomattox, VA | VA | -12.4% | +27.2% | +32.5% | +83.6% | $230.7K |
| 51 | Galax City, VA | VA | -12.1% | — | +114.7% | +80.5% | $233K |
| 52 | King William, VA | VA | -2.2% | -2.8% | +44.1% | +80.2% | $360.3K |
| 53 | Clarke, VA | VA | +38.3% | +13.5% | +147.0% | +79.2% | $745K |
| 54 | Fluvanna, VA | VA | +62.1% | +25.5% | +44.6% | +78.5% | $420K |
| 55 | Lee, VA | VA | +0.6% | +76.0% | +33.5% | +77.5% | $167.2K |
| 56 | Charlottesville City, VA | VA | -67.8% | +16.1% | +39.1% | +76.7% | $505.3K |
| 57 | Stafford, VA | VA | +10.4% | +14.1% | +34.6% | +76.7% | $628.7K |
| 58 | King George, VA | VA | -21.8% | -25.0% | +27.3% | +75.2% | $403K |
| 59 | Wythe, VA | VA | +14.4% | +39.9% | +40.1% | +74.0% | $226.5K |
| 60 | Albemarle, VA | VA | -14.2% | +1.4% | +30.3% | +73.7% | $667.4K |
| 61 | Halifax, VA | VA | +74.0% | +158.5% | +130.2% | +73.2% | $381.1K |
| 62 | Chesapeake City, VA | VA | +18.6% | +24.4% | +28.4% | +72.8% | $512.2K |
| 63 | Bedford, VA | VA | +31.1% | +16.4% | +27.0% | +72.6% | $357.4K |
| 64 | Fairfax, VA | VA | -16.8% | -0.6% | +23.2% | +68.7% | $878.3K |
| 65 | Lynchburg City, VA | VA | -36.7% | — | +55.9% | +67.9% | $254.8K |
| 66 | Brunswick, VA | VA | -45.9% | -24.1% | +29.7% | +67.3% | $257K |
| 67 | Buckingham, VA | VA | +7.7% | +11.4% | +39.9% | +67.0% | $292.3K |
| 68 | Chesterfield, VA | VA | -11.6% | -9.1% | +38.5% | +65.2% | $462.7K |
| 69 | Prince George, VA | VA | -13.9% | +56.7% | +29.7% | +65.0% | $313K |
| 70 | Amelia, VA | VA | +48.6% | +108.1% | +79.1% | +64.6% | $527.5K |
| 71 | Roanoke, VA | VA | -6.9% | +41.0% | +27.5% | +62.4% | $334.2K |
| 72 | Pittsylvania, VA | VA | -10.4% | +95.9% | +32.0% | +59.9% | $218K |
| 73 | Isle of Wight, VA | VA | -11.1% | +109.9% | +33.5% | +59.7% | $459.6K |
| 74 | Manassas Park City, VA | VA | -6.1% | +21.2% | +49.8% | +58.9% | $497K |
| 75 | Richmond City, VA | VA | -22.5% | +43.7% | +89.7% | +58.1% | $451.1K |
| 76 | New Kent, VA | VA | -25.0% | -5.3% | +50.0% | +57.1% | $368.8K |
| 77 | Norfolk City, VA | VA | -10.9% | -18.6% | +66.2% | +56.7% | $323.4K |
| 78 | Williamsburg City, VA | VA | -18.9% | +118.0% | -11.8% | +56.6% | $435K |
| 79 | Nelson, VA | VA | -8.3% | -35.1% | +31.3% | +54.3% | $358.6K |
| 80 | Alexandria City, VA | VA | +2.1% | -16.3% | +35.7% | +52.2% | $869.1K |
| 81 | Fauquier, VA | VA | -55.2% | +1.4% | +10.2% | +51.3% | $595.5K |
| 82 | Northumberland, VA | VA | +20.4% | +10.4% | +7.7% | +49.6% | $370.6K |
| 83 | Frederick, VA | VA | +29.0% | +60.7% | +56.0% | +48.9% | $501.7K |
| 84 | James City, VA | VA | -8.1% | -3.1% | +23.8% | +44.1% | $505.5K |
| 85 | Suffolk City, VA | VA | -7.7% | -26.8% | +31.1% | +44.1% | $318.5K |
| 86 | Hampton City, VA | VA | -1.4% | -7.0% | +44.9% | +43.2% | $249.5K |
| 87 | Arlington, VA | VA | -21.9% | +1.7% | +4.6% | +41.8% | $812.4K |
| 88 | Giles, VA | VA | -5.4% | +5.8% | +32.2% | +39.1% | $201.8K |
| 89 | Greene, VA | VA | -25.2% | +48.5% | +5.1% | +36.6% | $361.7K |
| 90 | Lancaster, VA | VA | +4.1% | -41.2% | -15.0% | +32.3% | $386.6K |
| 91 | York, VA | VA | -21.2% | -7.2% | +5.8% | +30.2% | $355.6K |
| 92 | Montgomery, VA | VA | -16.4% | +7.4% | +41.4% | +29.7% | $368.9K |
| 93 | Middlesex, VA | VA | -36.6% | +7.7% | -12.8% | +27.8% | $316.2K |
| 94 | Accomack, VA | VA | -10.1% | +47.5% | +10.4% | +25.4% | $319.5K |
| 95 | Rockingham, VA | VA | -24.4% | -7.5% | +9.0% | +20.1% | $267.3K |
| 96 | Martinsville City, VA | VA | -5.3% | +10.2% | +34.6% | +13.7% | $151K |
| 97 | Washington, VA | VA | -13.2% | -7.5% | +6.0% | +10.1% | $237.9K |
| 98 | Alleghany, VA | VA | -32.5% | +43.3% | +12.5% | +6.6% | $150.6K |
| 99 | Salem, VA | VA | -12.5% | — | +34.5% | +4.7% | $221.5K |
| 100 | Campbell, VA | VA | -30.4% | -5.4% | -19.2% | -1.5% | $167.5K |
How to read these numbers
Velocity vs. level
A market with 25% one-year appreciation is moving fast — but a market with steady 6% over ten years has compounded much further. Use 10Y as the long-run signal, 1Y as the momentum signal.
Mean-reversion risk
Markets that posted huge 1Y and 3Y gains often cool over the next cycle. Compare 1Y to 5Y: if 1Y is far above 5Y, the trend is accelerating; if far below, it is decelerating — often the more important signal.
Sample sanity
We require a minimum current median price (default $50K) to filter out tiny ZIPs with noisy data. Raise that threshold for serious investment markets; lower it to find emerging niches. Source: public record.